Basic Election Forecasting tool using Monte Carlo simulations and live polling data.
The 2019 Canadian elections forecast!
A Bayesian analysis of polling data and historical voting records to try to predict the outcome of the 2016 U.S. Presidential election.
Comparing eight forecasts of seats won at the UK local elections, 7 May 2026 — with confidence ranges and historical track record.
A Bayesian forecast for the 2026 congressional elections. Woah!
Optimizing bets on political elections
Reproducible four-country election polling pipeline with national-scope governance, leakage-safe validation, and a locked chronological holdout across 22 elections.
한국 선거 여론조사 베이지안 통합·예측 도구 — 기관·조사방식(ARS) 편향 보정 + 정직한 불확실성. Bayesian poll-aggregation election forecaster for Korea (NumPyro).
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