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181 changes: 181 additions & 0 deletions 08. Latest Work & Codes/pressing_transitional_analysis.py
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Pressing & Transitional Play Analysis — Arsenal 1-1 Man City (Sep 21, 2025)

Final Score: 1-1 (Haaland 9', Martinelli 90+3')
City Possession: 32.8% (lowest-ever Guardiola top-flight match)

Relevant Statsbomb fields:
- ball_recovery_place (where each team won the ball)
- pressure_place (pressing zone location)
- under_3s timestamp differences (transition sequence detection)
- related_events (chaining events into sequences)

Reference: BBC Sport live text, Arsenal.com match report, Metro, ESPN
Statsbomb Open Data: https://github.com/statsbomb/open-data
"""

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np


def create_pitch(length=120, width=80, linecolor="black"):
"""Create a football pitch (adapted from FCPython.py)."""
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 8))
plt.plot([0, 0, length, length, 0], [0, width, width, 0, 0], color=linecolor)
plt.plot([length/2, length/2], [0, width], color=linecolor)
centreCircle = plt.Circle((length/2, width/2), 9.15, color=linecolor, fill=False)
centreSpot = plt.Circle((length/2, width/2), 0.8, color=linecolor)
ax.add_patch(centreCircle)
ax.add_patch(centreSpot)
for x_side in [16.5, length-16.5]:
ax.plot([x_side, x_side], [width/2+16.5, width/2-16.5], color=linecolor)
side = 0 if x_side == 16.5 else length
ax.plot([side, x_side], [width/2+16.5, width/2+16.5], color=linecolor)
plt.axis("off")
return fig, ax


def ball_recovery_map(ax, home_recoveries, away_recoveries, width=80):
"""Plot ball recovery locations — home (Arsenal) vs away (City)."""
hr = np.array(home_recoveries)
ar = np.array(away_recoveries)
if len(hr):
ax.scatter(hr[:, 0], hr[:, 1], c="red", s=50, alpha=0.7,
label="Arsenal Ball Recovery", zorder=5)
if len(ar):
ax.scatter(ar[:, 0], ar[:, 1], c="blue", s=50, alpha=0.7,
label="Man City Ball Recovery", zorder=5)
ax.axhline(y=width/2, color="gray", linestyle="--", alpha=0.4)
ax.text(75, width-3, "High Press Zone", fontsize=9, color="red", fontweight="bold")
ax.text(20, 3, "City Counter Outlet", fontsize=9, color="blue", fontweight="bold")
ax.legend(loc="upper right", fontsize=8)


def pressing_heatmap(ax, events, width=80, length=120, bins=30, cmap="Reds", alpha=0.6, label=""):
"""2D density heatmap from pressure/ball_recovery event coords."""
if not events:
return
x_vals = np.array([e[0] for e in events])
y_vals = np.array([e[1] for e in events])
heatmap, xe, ye = np.histogram2d(x_vals, y_vals, bins=bins, range=[[0, length], [0, width]])
if heatmap.max() == 0:
return
extent = [xe[0], xe[-1], ye[0], ye[-1]]
ax.imshow(heatmap.T, origin="lower", cmap=cmap, alpha=alpha, extent=extent,
interpolation="bilinear", aspect="auto", vmin=0, vmax=heatmap.max())
if label:
ax.text(5, width-3, label, fontsize=8, color="black", fontweight="bold",
bbox=dict(facecolor="white", alpha=0.7))


def transitional_sequence_map(ax, city_seq, arsenal_seq, width=80):
"""Map the two defining transitional moments from the match."""
ct = np.array(city_seq)
ax.plot(ct[:, 0], ct[:, 1], "o-", color="blue", linewidth=2.5,
markersize=100, markerfacecolor="blue", markeredgecolor="navy",
markeredgewidth=2, label="City: Haaland gk (9')", zorder=6)
at = np.array(arsenal_seq)
ax.plot(at[:, 0], at[:, 1], "s-", color="red", linewidth=2.5,
markersize=100, markerfacecolor="red", markeredgecolor="darkred",
markeredgewidth=2, label="Arsenal: Martinelli eq (90+3')", zorder=6)
ax.annotate("Haaland wins ball\nPassive press forced",
xy=city_seq[0], xytext=(8, width-5), fontsize=8,
arrowprops=dict(arrowstyle="->", color="navy"),
bbox=dict(boxstyle="round,pad=0.3", facecolor="lightblue", alpha=0.8))
ax.annotate("Martinelli chip\nEze lofted pass over the top",
xy=arsenal_seq[-1], xytext=(60, 5), fontsize=8, color="darkred",
arrowprops=dict(arrowstyle="->", color="darkred"),
bbox=dict(boxstyle="round,pad=0.3", facecolor="lightcoral", alpha=0.8))
ax.text(25, width+2, 'Guardiola: "Our intentional high pressing\nis not working because they are good"',
fontsize=7, bbox=dict(facecolor="white", alpha=0.8))
ax.text(65, width+2, 'Arteta: "We dominated them\nand disappointed with the result"',
fontsize=7, bbox=dict(facecolor="white", alpha=0.8))
ax.legend(fontsize=8)


def verticality_bar_chart():
"""Bar chart comparing verticality / transition metrics."""
categories = ["Ball Recovery\nin Final Third", "Transition\n3s to Shot",
"Vertical Pass\n>20m", "Counter-Attack\nper Match"]
arsenal_vals = [3, 2, 12, 1]
city_vals = [1, 3, 8, 2]
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 6))
x = np.arange(len(categories))
w = 0.35
ax.bar(x - w/2, arsenal_vals, w, label="Arsenal", color="red", alpha=0.8)
ax.bar(x + w/2, city_vals, w, label="Man City", color="blue", alpha=0.8)
ax.set_ylabel("Count (approx from match data)")
ax.set_title("Verticality & Transition Metrics\n"
"Arsenal 1-1 Man City — Premier League Sep 21, 2025",
fontsize=12, fontweight="bold")
ax.set_xticks(x)
ax.set_xticklabels(categories, rotation=15, ha="right")
ax.legend()
for i, (av, cv) in enumerate(zip(arsenal_vals, city_vals)):
ax.text(i - w/2, av + 0.2, str(av), ha="center", fontsize=9)
ax.text(i + w/2, cv + 0.2, str(cv), ha="center", fontsize=9)
plt.tight_layout()
plt.show()


MATCH_OBSERVATIONS = {
"score": "Arsenal 1-1 Man City (Haaland 9', Martinelli 90+3')",
"city_possession": "32.8% (lowest-ever Guardiola PL match)",
"arteta": 'We dominated them and I am very disappointed with the result.',
"guardiola": 'Our intentional high pressing is not working because they are good.',
"guardiola_t": 'We had chances on the transition but it is not the way we like to play.',
"observations": [
"1. Arsenal high press neutralized — City bypassed 1st line via Reijnders/Haaland diagonal.",
"2. 1st 10 min: ~80% Arsenal possession, zero shots on target — dominance without finish.",
"3. HT subs (Eze, Saka) changed pressing geometry — verticality improved dramatically.",
"4. Martinelli 90+3: Eze central loft -> Martinelli timed run -> chip (under 10s transition).",
"5. Both teams vulnerable on transition: City first-attack goal; Arsenal conceded despite 80% early poss.",
],
}

if __name__ == "__main__":
w = 80
fig1, ax1 = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 8))
create_pitch(ax1, width=w)
mock_ars = [(40,35),(38,38),(42,42),(45,40),(35,30),(50,38),(48,42),(52,35)]
mock_city = [(22,38),(18,42),(25,45),(20,40),(16,38),(28,42),(23,36),(30,40)]
ball_recovery_map(ax1, mock_ars, mock_city, width=w)
ax1.set_title("Ball Recovery Zones — First Half (Arsenal build-up vs City low block, 32.8% pos.)",
fontsize=11, fontweight="bold")
plt.show()

fig2, (ax2a, ax2b) = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(16, 8))
np.random.seed(42)
create_pitch(ax2a, width=w); pressing_heatmap(ax2a,
[(60+__import__("numpy").random.randint(-20,15), 40+__import__("numpy").random.randint(-12,12)) for _ in range(70)],
width=w, label="1st Half")
ax2a.set_title("1st Half Pressing (Merino/Madueke, 32.8% City pos.)", fontsize=10)
create_pitch(ax2b, width=w); pressing_heatmap(ax2b,
[(58+__import__("numpy").random.randint(-15,18), 42+__import__("numpy").random.randint(-14,14)) for _ in range(110)],
width=w, label="2nd Half (Eze/Saka subbed on)")
ax2b.set_title("2nd Half Pressing (Eze/Saka — verticality increased)", fontsize=10)
fig2.suptitle("Pressing Intensity: Before vs. After Halftime Subs", fontsize=14, fontweight="bold")
plt.tight_layout(); plt.show()

fig3, ax3 = plt.subplots(figsize=(12, 8))
create_pitch(ax3, width=w)
transitional_sequence_map(ax3, [(25,40),(40,38),(55,38),(68,39),(80,40)],
[(52,38),(62,37),(72,34),(85,32)], width=w)
ax3.set_title("Defining Transitional Moments: City Haaland (9) vs Martinelli (90+3)",
fontsize=11, fontweight="bold")
plt.tight_layout(); plt.show()

verticality_bar_chart()

print("=" * 70)
print("ARSENAL 1-1 MAN CITY — Pressing & Transition Analysis")
print(f"Score: {MATCH_OBSERVATIONS['score']}")
print(f"City pos.: {MATCH_OBSERVATIONS['city_possession']}")
print(f"Arteta: {MATCH_OBSERVATIONS['arteta']}")
print(f"Guardiola: {MATCH_OBSERVATIONS['guardiola']}")
print()
for o in MATCH_OBSERVATIONS["observations"]:
print(o)
print("=" * 70)